Hi Steve,
I've just been having a think about the offers BF do for racing multiples.
Todays offer is:
* Place a Racing Multiples bet on a minimum of three legs, with only ONE selection per leg, and a minimum stake of £10 that includes General Miller before 4.20pm today.
* If General Miller loses the race, we'll give you £10 back!
My question then mate is this: Is there anyway we can manipulate these types of offer that BF often do in order to shut in some guaranteed profit or good potential profit in the long run?
I was thinking along the lines of deploying F&F accounts to cover all other options/runners in the other 2 races selecting races with the minimum amount of runners possible?
Heres my example (which could be wildly wrong!)
Race One: BF selection
Race Two: 3 runners
Race Three: 3 runners
That means to cover all outcomes 9 treble bets of £10 would need to be made. Profit obviously depends on the odds for the multiple, but based on experience i'd say on average the LOWEST treble bet including two 3-horse races is usualy around 5 which would return a minimum profit of £40 with the 8 other alternatives inreasing in potential profit. So based on that this would leave us with the following 3 broad scenarios:
Scenario 1: BF selected horse loses. All 9 £10 bets will be returned. Outcome will be break/even.
Scenario 2: Worst case scenario. Lowest Treble wins returning apprx £40 (Based on above estimates) and Lose 8 multiples (£80). TOTAL LOSS: £50
Scenario 3: Best Case Scenario. Highest Treble wins returning maximum achievable profit. Dependant on odss, but outside horses in 3 horse races can be very high albeit obviously less likely. Example: Individual Odds of 2,8 & 8 would give you a treble multiple return of about £1,200.
Obviously 9 bets means 9 F&F accounts which might be stretching it for some and also that sometimes 2 other races with only 3 runners might not always be availible, but i just wanted to see if it works in theory.
Just thought if we could get this working we could announce on here the days when these bonuses are availible and make everyone some extra beans!
Anyway, my head now hurts! think i need a beer after all that thinking!
by mandrew » Tue Apr 13, 2010 4:09 pm 
You know how lucky I can be !!
